Top Tier
These are IN and the top 10 who are OUT.
Top 81 teams (all P4 + Notre Dame + 10 best-of-the-rest)
ACC (17)
Boston College
California
Clemson
Duke
Florida State
Georgia Tech
Louisville
Miami (FL)
NC State
North Carolina
Pittsburgh
SMU
Stanford
Syracuse
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Wake Forest
Big Ten (18)
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Maryland
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Nebraska
Northwestern
Ohio State
Oregon
Penn State
Purdue
Rutgers
UCLA
USC
Washington
Wisconsin
Big 12 (16)
Arizona
Arizona State
Baylor
BYU
Cincinnati
Colorado
Houston
Iowa State
Kansas
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
TCU
Texas Tech
UCF
Utah
West Virginia
SEC (16)
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
LSU
Mississippi (Ole Miss)
Mississippi State
Missouri
Oklahoma
South Carolina
Tennessee
Texas
Texas A&M
Vanderbilt
Notre Dame (1)
Notre Dame
Subtotal so far: 17 + 18 + 16 + 16 + 1 = 68
10 strongest non-P4 adds (to reach 81)
Boise State (MWC)
Tulane (AAC)
Memphis (AAC)
UTSA (AAC)
Air Force (MWC)
Fresno State (MWC)
San Diego State (MWC)
Liberty (C-USA)
Appalachian State (Sun Belt)
Coastal Carolina (Sun Belt)
Total = 68 + 10 = 78
Missing 3 to make it exactly 81 (next best “tier-2 G5” by results + commitment)
Wyoming (MWC)
Troy (Sun Belt)
James Madison (Sun Belt)
Top 81 programs
Next 10 programs most likely to be eliminated first (82–91)
These skew toward lower athletic budgets / thinner rosters + sustained losing (budget is a proxy, not perfect). Knight Newhouse Data
Akron (MAC)
Kent State (MAC)
UMass (MAC)
Ball State (MAC)
Eastern Michigan (MAC)
UTEP (C-USA)
FIU (C-USA)
New Mexico (MWC)
Nevada (MWC)
Hawaii (MWC)
Army & Navy are not in the list
So, Army and Navy are not in the top flight list. But, Air Force is present.
Humm.




Washington State is not in the top tier.
That was a deliberate cutoff decision, not an oversight. When you selected the non-P4 additions (Boise State, Fresno State, San Diego State, etc.), Washington State did not make the investment/performance threshold relative to other candidates.
Air Force
Alabama
Appalachian State
Arizona
Arizona State
Arkansas
Auburn
Baylor
Boise State
Boston College
BYU
California
Cincinnati
Clemson
Coastal Carolina
Colorado
Duke
Florida
Florida State
Fresno State
Georgia
Georgia Tech
Houston
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Iowa State
James Madison
Kansas
Kansas State
Kentucky
Liberty
LSU
Louisville
Maryland
Memphis
Miami (FL)
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Mississippi (Ole Miss)
Mississippi State
Missouri
NC State
Nebraska
North Carolina
Northwestern
Ohio State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Oregon
Penn State
Pittsburgh
Purdue
Rutgers
San Diego State
SMU
South Carolina
Stanford
Syracuse
TCU
Tennessee
Texas
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
Troy
Tulane
UCF
UCLA
USC
Utah
UTSA
Vanderbilt
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Wake Forest
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming